Nigeria’s headline inflation rate declined to 15.43 per cent in July 2026 from 15.91 per cent in June, even as food inflation rose sharply during the month.
The latest figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday showed that headline inflation fell by 0.48 percentage points, extending the recent moderation in overall consumer price pressures.
However, food inflation moved in the opposite direction, rising to 20.31 per cent in July from 17.52 per cent in June.
The increase represents a 2.79 percentage-point rise in food inflation within one month, underscoring continued pressure on household budgets despite the decline in the headline rate.
The divergent movements indicate that the moderation in overall inflation has not translated into lower food prices, which remain a major component of household expenditure.
The latest development comes as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continues to monitor inflationary pressures while assessing the pace of monetary policy adjustments.
Inflationary pressures had started picking up again from March following fuel price increases linked to the conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran, bringing an end to an 11-month period of easing price pressures.
The renewed pressure subsequently influenced the CBN’s decision to adopt a cautious approach to interest rate cuts amid concerns over higher energy costs and broader geopolitical risks.
The July figures are expected to provide fresh signals for policymakers ahead of the next meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee, particularly as headline and food inflation are moving in different directions.
While the decline in headline inflation suggests some moderation in broader price pressures, the sharp rise in food inflation could continue to weigh heavily on household welfare and complicate efforts to achieve sustained price stability.
For consumers, the headline decline may offer limited relief, particularly for households that spend a large proportion of their income on food and other essential commodities.
The latest data also come amid ongoing efforts by the Federal Government and monetary authorities to stabilise the economy following major policy changes, including fuel subsidy reforms and adjustments to the foreign exchange market.
Exchange-rate movements, transportation costs, energy prices and food supply conditions continue to influence domestic prices.
The figures therefore highlight the gap between headline inflation and the everyday experience of consumers, as overall inflation moderates while the cost of food continues to rise.
Sustained improvements in agricultural production, transportation, energy supply and food distribution will remain critical to bringing down food inflation and ensuring that the moderation in headline inflation translates into broader relief for households.
According to the NBS, headline inflation stood at 15.43 per cent in July, compared with 15.91 per cent in June, while food inflation increased from 17.52 per cent to 20.31 per cent over the same period.
The figures suggest that although Nigeria’s overall inflation rate continued to moderate in July, rising food prices remain a major challenge to the cost of living.
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